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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 56.69%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 22.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.16%) and 1-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%).
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
56.69% ( -1.43) | 21.27% ( 0.66) | 22.03% ( 0.77) |
| Both teams to score 60.71% ( -1.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.71% ( -2.15) | 37.29% ( 2.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.5% ( -2.36) | 59.5% ( 2.36) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.93% ( -1.1) | 13.07% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.34% ( -2.29) | 39.66% ( 2.29) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.84% ( -0.55) | 30.16% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.69% ( -0.66) | 66.31% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toluca | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.18)1-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.5)3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.28)4-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.2)5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.18)5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.84% Total : 56.69% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.4)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.27% | 1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.41)0-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.94% Total : 22.03% |
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