SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 59.06%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 20.87% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 3-1 (7.05%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
59.06% ( 0.74) | 20.07% ( -0.01) | 20.87% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 63.4% ( -1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.98% ( -0.95) | 33.02% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.25% ( -1.11) | 54.75% ( 1.1) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.95% ( -0.1) | 11.05% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.61% ( -0.22) | 35.39% ( 0.22) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( -1.18) | 28.73% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.44% ( -1.49) | 64.56% ( 1.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.32)3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.71% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.08% Total : 59.06% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.35% Total : 20.07% | 1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.22% Total : 20.87% |
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