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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
EL

Torino
1 - 0
Empoli

Zapata (25')
Linetty (45+4'), Bellanova (71'), Buongiorno (80'), Vlasic (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cacace (81'), Luperto (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frosinone 0-0 Torino
Sunday, December 10 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-1 Lecce
Monday, December 11 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-0 Empoli

A goal-fest should not be expected in Saturday's late kickoff, as both teams are far from prolific and average less than one goal per game. Instead, a single strike may decide matters, with the hosts most likely to produce it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 18.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawEmpoli
56.97% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 24.62% (0.0030000000000001 0) 18.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 44.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.97% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)56.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.88% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.11%
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)19.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.48% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)51.52% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.33% (0.00099999999999767 0)44.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.33% (0.0019999999999989 0)80.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Torino 56.96%
    Empoli 18.41%
    Draw 24.61%
TorinoDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 14.26%
2-0 @ 11.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 6.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.05%
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 56.96%
1-1 @ 11.49%
0-0 @ 8.75% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 3.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.24%
2-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 18.41%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Frosinone 0-0 Torino
Sunday, December 10 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 3-0 Atalanta
Monday, December 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Torino
Monday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Torino
Saturday, November 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 2-1 Sassuolo
Monday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-2 Frosinone
Thursday, November 2 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Empoli 1-1 Lecce
Monday, December 11 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Empoli
Saturday, December 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 3-4 Sassuolo
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Empoli
Sunday, November 12 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 2-1 Empoli
Monday, November 6 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-3 Atalanta
Monday, October 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A


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