With just one loss in their last eight outings, Atalanta are beginning to build the consistency that has been lacking over the past couple of years, and the task of taking three points home from Tuscany is well within their grasp. An improved back line allied to more attacking options means that La Dea should have too much firepower for Empoli to handle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 21.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
0.07) 
-0.24) 
