SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Sassuolo |
43.61% ( 1.83) | 25.37% ( 0.32) | 31.02% ( -2.15) |
| Both teams to score 54.99% ( -1.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.4% ( -2.13) | 48.59% ( 2.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.28% ( -1.97) | 70.71% ( 1.96) |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.76% ( -0.05) | 22.24% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.33% ( -0.07) | 55.67% ( 0.06) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.71% ( -2.44) | 29.28% ( 2.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.75% ( -3.09) | 65.25% ( 3.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torino | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 1-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.82) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.61)3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.29% Total : 43.61% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.55)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.29)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 8% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.37)0-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.38)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.29)0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.25)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.02% |
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