Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
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