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EFL Cup | Round of 16
Nov 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vitality Stadium
LL

Bournemouth
1 - 2
Liverpool

Kluivert (64')
Kerkez (53'), Scott (55'), Iraola (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gakpo (31'), Nunez (70')
Gakpo (55')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bournemouth 2-1 Burnley
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 3-0 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 57.82%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 21.42% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.03%) and 0-1 (7.64%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (5.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Liverpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.

Result
BournemouthDrawLiverpool
21.42% (-0.48 -0.48) 20.76% (-0.064 -0.06) 57.82% (0.542 0.54)
Both teams to score 61.66% (-0.508 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.36% (-0.34299999999999 -0.34)35.64% (0.34 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.3% (-0.38 -0.38)57.7% (0.377 0.38)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.24% (-0.613 -0.61)29.76% (0.61 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.17% (-0.75 -0.75)65.83% (0.747 0.75)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.79% (0.040999999999997 0.04)12.21% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.12% (0.088999999999999 0.09)37.88% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 21.42%
    Liverpool 57.82%
    Draw 20.76%
BournemouthDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 5.61% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-0 @ 4.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 2.67% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.27% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.08% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3%
Total : 21.42%
1-1 @ 9.26% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.63% (0.062 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 20.76%
1-2 @ 9.74% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.03% (0.163 0.16)
0-1 @ 7.64% (0.143 0.14)
1-3 @ 6.83% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 5.63% (0.124 0.12)
2-3 @ 4.14% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3.59% (0.025 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.96% (0.07 0.07)
2-4 @ 2.18% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.51% (0.013 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.25% (0.032 0.03)
2-5 @ 0.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 57.82%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-1 Burnley
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-2 Wolves
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 3-0 Bournemouth
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-4 Arsenal
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-0 Stoke
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Brighton 3-1 Bournemouth
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 3-0 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 5-1 Toulouse
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Everton
Saturday, October 21 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 2-2 Liverpool
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Union SG
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Spurs 2-1 Liverpool
Saturday, September 30 at 5.30pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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