SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lyon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lyon.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Lyon |
36.69% ( -0.36) | 25.69% ( 0.11) | 37.62% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 55.32% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.21% ( -0.52) | 48.78% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.11% ( -0.47) | 70.88% ( 0.47) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.12% ( -0.44) | 25.88% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.14% ( -0.61) | 60.86% ( 0.6) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( -0.1) | 25.36% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.84% ( -0.14) | 60.16% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.69% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 9% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.62% |
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