SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 20.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Bordeaux |
20.94% ( -0.15) | 23.06% ( 0.14) | 55.99% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.96% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.21% ( -0.77) | 46.79% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.95% ( -0.73) | 69.05% ( 0.73) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.45% ( -0.59) | 36.55% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.66% ( -0.59) | 73.34% ( 0.59) |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.47% ( -0.27) | 16.53% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.71% ( -0.49) | 46.28% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Troyes | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 1-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.06% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.76% Total : 20.94% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.06% | 0-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 5.91% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 5.87% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.66% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 55.99% |
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