SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 52.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 23.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caen | Draw | Troyes |
52.39% ( 0.09) | 24.19% ( -0.02) | 23.42% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.67% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.22% ( 0.02) | 48.78% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.12% ( 0.02) | 70.88% ( -0.02) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.41% ( 0.04) | 18.58% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.14% ( 0.07) | 49.86% ( -0.07) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.69% ( -0.05) | 35.31% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.93% ( -0.05) | 72.06% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caen | Draw | Troyes |
| 1-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 52.39% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.18% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 23.42% |
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