Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 54.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 21.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bordeaux would win this match.
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