As Empoli do not travel well, Udinese should register just a second home win of the season; after previously staring into the abyss, the Bianconeri can clinch safety with one game to spare, partly thanks to Fabio Cannavaro's calming influence.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
0.82) 
-0.25) 
