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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 13, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
EL

Lecce
1 - 0
Empoli

Sansone (89')
Almqvist (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gyasi (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
Saturday, April 6 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 3-2 Torino
Saturday, April 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 0-1 Empoli

This game is a close one to call. The home side are struggling to find the back of the net on their turf, while Empoli just ended a four-game run without scoring before last weekend's win over Torino. However, the away side's penchant for netting late goals means they always carry a threat, and Nicola's men should nick maximum points against a team that go into this weekend on the back of firing six blanks in eight league gameweeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lecce in this match.

Result
LecceDrawEmpoli
41.5% (0.382 0.38) 26.46% (0.086000000000002 0.09) 32.04% (-0.466 -0.47)
Both teams to score 51.86% (-0.427 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.17% (-0.47600000000001 -0.48)52.82% (0.478 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.55% (-0.407 -0.41)74.45% (0.41199999999999 0.41)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.87% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)25.13% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.16% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)59.84% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.27% (-0.551 -0.55)30.73% (0.556 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.02% (-0.657 -0.66)66.98% (0.661 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 41.49%
    Empoli 32.04%
    Draw 26.46%
LecceDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 10.66% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.36% (0.131 0.13)
3-1 @ 4% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 41.49%
1-1 @ 12.58% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.145 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 9.11% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.04%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
Saturday, April 6 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-0 Roma
Monday, April 1 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 0-1 Lecce
Saturday, March 16 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, March 10 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 1-1 Lecce
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-4 Inter Milan
Sunday, February 25 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 3-2 Torino
Saturday, April 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Empoli
Monday, April 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Bologna
Friday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Empoli
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Cagliari
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 2-3 Empoli
Saturday, February 24 at 2pm in Serie A


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