While Udinese have struggled for results, their home form against Genoa has been historically strong.
However, the visitors will be encouraged by their recent three-match undefeated sequence entering this weekend and aim to capitalise on the Friulians' vulnerability to nick a point in Udine.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.08) 
