It could be a close-fought encounter between two teams aiming to secure mid-table safety this season, and Udinese could finally get up and running with a one-goal win. Genoa impressed on Thursday night, but turning in consistent performances has proved beyond them so far.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
-1.05) 
1.11) 
