It may not be pretty, but Genoa can scrap their way to six points from six against two promoted sides this week, thereby prolonging Como's misery.
The Grifone showed some spirit to win in Parma, while their visitors remain a work in progress, so the long-suffering faithful at Stadio Luigi Ferraris should finally be rewarded.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
-0.06) 
0.07) 
