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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)
GL

Parma
0 - 1
Genoa


Keita (36'), Haj Mohamed (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pinamonti (80')
Leali (27'), Zanoli (54'), Ekhator (60'), Vasquez (82'), Balotelli (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 2-2 Parma
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, October 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Parma 2-1 Genoa

Having shown clear potential and come close to picking up several more points, Parma should finally capitalise against Genoa, taking advantage of their visitors' woes. Short of numbers and low on confidence, the Grifone will suffer another defeat, leaving them stuck to the foot of the standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 53.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
ParmaDrawGenoa
53.55% (-0.102 -0.1) 24.17% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 22.28% (0.081 0.08)
Both teams to score 51.34% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.15% (0.012 0.01)49.85% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.15% (0.012 0.01)71.84% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)18.54% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.21% (-0.058 -0.06)49.79% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.03% (0.085999999999999 0.09)36.96% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.24% (0.087 0.09)73.75% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Parma 53.55%
    Genoa 22.28%
    Draw 24.16%
ParmaDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.47% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 2.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 53.55%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 24.16%
0-1 @ 6.82% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.72% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.39% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 22.28%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Juventus 2-2 Parma
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, October 27 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Como 1-1 Parma
Saturday, October 19 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Parma
Sunday, October 6 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 2-3 Cagliari
Monday, September 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-2 Parma
Saturday, September 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, October 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 3-0 Genoa
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, October 19 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 5-1 Genoa
Saturday, October 5 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-3 Juventus
Saturday, September 28 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Sampdoria (5-6 pen.)
Wednesday, September 25 at 8pm in Coppa Italia


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