SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 66.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Standard Liege had a probability of 14.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Standard Liege win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Standard Liege |
66.27% ( -0.09) | 19.34% ( 0.09) | 14.38% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 52.12% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.66% ( -0.4) | 41.34% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.26% ( -0.41) | 63.74% ( 0.41) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.38% ( -0.14) | 11.61% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.38% ( -0.3) | 36.62% ( 0.31) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.97% ( -0.25) | 41.02% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.42% ( -0.22) | 77.58% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Standard Liege |
| 2-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.77% Total : 66.26% | 1-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.34% | 0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.07% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.66% Total : 14.38% |
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