SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 41.12%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 28.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.06%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 0-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
41.12% ( 0.43) | 30.88% ( 0.09) | 28.01% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 38.48% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.29% ( -0.38) | 68.71% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.6% ( -0.25) | 86.4% ( 0.25) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.89% ( 0.06) | 33.11% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.29% ( 0.06) | 69.71% ( -0.06) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.53% ( -0.66) | 42.48% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.16% ( -0.57) | 78.85% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 15.54% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.71% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.59% Total : 41.11% | 0-0 @ 14.06% ( 0.2) 1-1 @ 13.31% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.35% Total : 30.87% | 0-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.01% Total : 28.01% |
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