Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Union had a probability of 16.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
