SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Palestine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 72.2%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 9.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15%) and 3-0 (10.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.
| Result | ||
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Hong Kong |
72.2% ( -0.25) | 18.66% ( 0.18) | 9.14% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 37.7% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.47% ( -0.51) | 51.53% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.67% ( -0.44) | 73.33% ( 0.44) |
| United Arab Emirates Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.07% ( -0.22) | 12.93% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.61% ( -0.46) | 39.39% ( 0.46) |
| Hong Kong Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.3% ( -0.17) | 56.7% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.13% ( -0.09) | 88.87% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Hong Kong |
| 2-0 @ 15.34% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 15% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.28% Total : 72.2% | 1-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.34% Total : 18.66% | 0-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 2.41% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.38% Total : 9.14% |
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