Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 17, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Olimpico Atahualpa
FT
Franco (11'),
Renteria (13'), Saldana (53'), Grazziani (79'), Colpa (90+4')
Simarra (30')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Universidad Catolica and Alianza Petrolera.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 73.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Alianza Petrolera had a probability of 9.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.96%) and 3-0 (10.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for an Alianza Petrolera win it was 0-1 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result |
| Universidad Catolica | Draw | Alianza Petrolera |
73.97% ( 0.26) | 16.8% ( -0.34) | 9.22% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 43.65% ( 1.41) |
| 56.51% ( 1.74) | 43.49% ( -1.74) |
| 34.11% ( 1.69) | 65.88% ( -1.69) |
| Universidad Catolica Goals |
| 89.79% ( 0.53) | 10.2% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.5% ( 1.19) | 33.49% ( -1.2) |
| 48.61% ( 1.3) | 51.38% ( -1.3) |
