Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 10, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Olimpico Atahualpa
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Universidad Catolica and Union La Calera.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Union La Calera had a probability of 15.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Union La Calera win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.
| Result |
| Universidad Catolica | Draw | Union La Calera |
63.45% ( 1.45) | 21.26% ( -0.66) | 15.29% ( -0.8) |
| Both teams to score 48.06% ( 0.23) |
| 52.09% ( 1.26) | 47.91% ( -1.26) |
| 29.91% ( 1.15) | 70.09% ( -1.15) |
| Universidad Catolica Goals |
| 85.55% ( 0.88) | 14.45% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.6% ( 1.67) | 42.4% ( -1.67) |
| 56.18% ( -0.31) | 43.82% ( 0.31) |
