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Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 14, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo
P

Catolica
0 - 1
Palmeiras


Zampedri (42'), Parot (64'), Lanaro (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Veiga (42' pen.)
Rocha (61'), Vina (66'), Wesley (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.02%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 2-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Universidad CatolicaDrawPalmeiras
29.71%21.74%48.55%
Both teams to score 67.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.78%32.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.17%53.83%
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.02%21.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.72%55.28%
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.16%13.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.78%41.21%
Score Analysis
    Universidad Catolica 29.71%
    Palmeiras 48.55%
    Draw 21.74%
Universidad CatolicaDrawPalmeiras
2-1 @ 6.91%
1-0 @ 4.61%
2-0 @ 3.49%
3-1 @ 3.49%
3-2 @ 3.45%
3-0 @ 1.76%
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 29.71%
1-1 @ 9.12%
2-2 @ 6.83%
0-0 @ 3.04%
3-3 @ 2.27%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 21.74%
1-2 @ 9.01%
0-1 @ 6.02%
0-2 @ 5.95%
1-3 @ 5.94%
2-3 @ 4.5%
0-3 @ 3.92%
1-4 @ 2.94%
2-4 @ 2.23%
0-4 @ 1.94%
1-5 @ 1.16%
3-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 48.55%

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