SM
| Current League C Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cayman Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | US Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Aruba | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a US Virgin Islands win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Barbados had a probability of 38.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a US Virgin Islands win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (4.95%) and 3-2 (4.71%). The likeliest Barbados win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| US Virgin Islands | Draw | Barbados |
40.08% ( -1.39) | 21.19% ( 0.5) | 38.73% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 72.74% ( -1.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.65% ( -2.52) | 26.35% ( 2.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.33% ( -3.29) | 46.66% ( 3.3) |
| US Virgin Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.54% ( -1.54) | 14.46% ( 1.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.58% ( -3.06) | 42.42% ( 3.06) |
| Barbados Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.04% ( -0.77) | 14.96% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.62% ( -1.48) | 43.38% ( 1.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| US Virgin Islands | Draw | Barbados |
| 2-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.29)1-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.43)2-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.22)4-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.28)4-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.22)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.6% Total : 40.08% | 1-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.62) 2-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.27)0-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.33)Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.19% | 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.14)0-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.53)0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.41)0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 2.27% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.13)3-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.06)Other @ 4.24% Total : 38.73% |
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