SM
| Current League C Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cayman Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | US Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Aruba | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cayman Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | US Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Aruba | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aruba win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for US Virgin Islands had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aruba win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest US Virgin Islands win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aruba would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aruba | Draw | US Virgin Islands |
48.26% ( 0.24) | 24.75% ( -0.06) | 26.99% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 54.41% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.84% ( 0.1) | 48.16% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.68% ( 0.09) | 70.32% ( -0.1) |
| Aruba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80% ( 0.14) | 20% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.81% ( 0.23) | 52.18% ( -0.23) |
| US Virgin Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.01% ( -0.09) | 31.98% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.55% ( -0.1) | 68.44% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aruba | Draw | US Virgin Islands |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 48.26% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 26.99% |
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