SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Portland Timbers |
47.88% ( 0.03) | 23.53% ( -0.01) | 28.58% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.78% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.35% ( 0.01) | 41.64% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.95% ( 0.01) | 64.04% ( -0.01) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.39% ( 0.02) | 17.6% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.82% ( 0.03) | 48.17% ( -0.03) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.55% ( -0.02) | 27.44% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.07% ( -0.02) | 62.93% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 3.84% Total : 47.88% | 1-1 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.25% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 28.58% |
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