SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
43.59% ( -0.3) | 24.23% ( 0.1) | 32.18% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 59.41% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.96% ( -0.39) | 43.03% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.56% ( -0.39) | 65.43% ( 0.39) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.08% ( -0.29) | 19.92% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.94% ( -0.47) | 52.05% ( 0.47) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% ( -0.07) | 25.8% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.24% ( -0.09) | 60.76% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.69% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.02% Total : 43.59% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.18% |
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