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Major League Soccer
Oct 7, 2024 at 12am UK
Providence Park
FD

Portland
0 - 0
Dallas


Miller (5'), David Mosquera (84')
FT

Illarramendi (25'), Ntsabeleng (81'), Farfan (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portland 0-1 Austin
Thursday, October 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 3-2 Dallas
Thursday, October 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 3-0 Dallas

Dallas have been poor defensively for a good portion of the season, and they will have a plethora of attacking weapons to contend with this weekend, which we believe will ultimately be too much for them to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 52.91%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.49%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawDallas
52.91% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26) 20.81% (0.084 0.08) 26.28% (0.179 0.18)
Both teams to score 67.8% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.71% (-0.249 -0.25)30.28% (0.25 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.47% (-0.30099999999999 -0.3)51.53% (0.302 0.3)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.16% (-0.157 -0.16)11.84% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.9% (-0.337 -0.34)37.1% (0.338 0.34)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)23.09% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.06% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)56.93% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 52.91%
    Dallas 26.28%
    Draw 20.81%
Portland TimbersDrawDallas
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.49% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.83% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 4.76% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.46% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.54% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.36% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.48% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 52.91%
1-1 @ 8.55% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.69% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 2.73% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.32% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 20.81%
1-2 @ 6.27% (0.043 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.01% (0.054 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.27%
1-3 @ 3.06% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.94% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 26.28%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Portland 0-1 Austin
Thursday, October 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Portland
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 3-3 Portland
Sunday, September 22 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 4-2 LA Galaxy
Thursday, September 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 2-1 Portland
Sunday, September 15 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-0 Seattle
Sunday, September 1 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 3-2 Dallas
Thursday, October 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 3-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 22 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 3-2 Dallas
Thursday, September 19 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 Dallas
Sunday, September 8 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 2-3 Colorado
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


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