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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 55.06%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 24.23% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.84%) and 3-1 (6.69%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Austin FC |
55.06% ( 1.29) | 20.71% ( -0.61) | 24.23% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 65.82% ( 1.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.09% ( 2.33) | 31.91% ( -2.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.54% ( 2.68) | 53.46% ( -2.68) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.22% ( 1.15) | 11.78% ( -1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.03% ( 2.39) | 36.98% ( -2.39) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.61% ( 0.79) | 25.39% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.8% ( 1.07) | 60.2% ( -1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Austin FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.21)1-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.53)3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.24)4-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.26)4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.23)5-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.17)4-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.13)5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.11)5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.85% Total : 55.06% | 1-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.39)3-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.43% Total : 20.71% | 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.43)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 24.23% |
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