SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
29.94% ( 0.27) | 24.9% ( -0.11) | 45.17% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 55.99% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.96% ( 0.61) | 47.04% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.72% ( 0.57) | 69.28% ( -0.57) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( 0.5) | 29.24% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.8% ( 0.61) | 65.2% ( -0.61) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.12% ( 0.19) | 20.88% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.42% ( 0.29) | 53.58% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
| 1-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.94% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.65% Total : 45.17% |
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