Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Varnamo | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
40.96% ( -0.08) | 24.79% ( 0.01) | 34.25% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 58.11% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.96% ( -0.02) | 45.05% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.61% ( -0.02) | 67.4% ( 0.02) |
Varnamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.02% ( -0.05) | 21.98% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.72% ( -0.08) | 55.28% ( 0.08) |
IFK Norrkoping Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.48% ( 0.04) | 25.53% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.62% ( 0.05) | 60.38% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Varnamo | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.96% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 2-2 @ 6% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.25% |
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