Without Payet, Vasco have been lacking creativity going forward, and we do not believe a side as well-organised and in-form like Internacional will face many dangerous attacks from the home side this week.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 1-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Internacional in this match.
-0.03) 
0.06) 
