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Brasileiro | Gameweek 33
Nov 9, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Comendador Agostinho Prada
VD

Fortaleza
3 - 0
Vasco

Martinez (13'), Lopes (78'), Kayzer (90+2')
Rossetto (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jair (57')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Vasco da Gama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventude 0-3 Fortaleza
Saturday, November 2 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 3-0 Vasco
Wednesday, November 6 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 16.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawVasco da Gama
59.82% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01) 23.57% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 16.6% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 44.14% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.27% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)54.72% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.95% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)76.04% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.97% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)18.02% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.09% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)48.91% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.84% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)46.15% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.16% (-0.023 -0.02)81.84% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 59.82%
    Vasco da Gama 16.6%
    Draw 23.57%
FortalezaDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 14.25% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 12.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 59.82%
1-1 @ 11.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.32% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 6.43% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.49%
1-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 16.6%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Juventude 0-3 Fortaleza
Saturday, November 2 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-2 Fortaleza
Saturday, October 26 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, October 17 at 1.45am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 3-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, October 5 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Cuiaba
Sunday, September 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 3-0 Fortaleza
Wednesday, September 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Botafogo 3-0 Vasco
Wednesday, November 6 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 3-2 Bahia
Tuesday, October 29 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 1-0 Cuiaba
Thursday, October 24 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, October 19 at 10.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-0 Vasco
Thursday, October 17 at 1.45am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 1-1 Juventude
Sunday, October 6 at 1am in Brasileiro


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