Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Vasco da Gama has a probability of 35.07% and a draw has a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win is 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.9%).
-0.16) 
0.13) 
