Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 51.81%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 20.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Belgrano |
51.81% ( -0.58) | 27.92% ( 0.16) | 20.27% ( 0.42) |
Both teams to score 39.04% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.32% ( -0.1) | 64.68% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.33% ( -0.07) | 83.66% ( 0.07) |
Velez Sarsfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.56% ( -0.32) | 25.44% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.74% ( -0.44) | 60.26% ( 0.44) |
Belgrano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.36% ( 0.42) | 47.64% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.04% ( 0.31) | 82.96% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Belgrano |
1-0 @ 16.58% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 11.35% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.43% 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.91% Total : 51.8% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.38% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 20.27% |
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