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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 19
Oct 27, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
1 - 1
Belgrano

Fernandez (53')
Romero (13'), Quinteros (14'), Mammana (73'), Lagos (90+3'), Aquino (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fernandez (6')
Troilo (12'), Compagnucci (23')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Belgrano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, October 19 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 0-1 Platense
Saturday, October 19 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 51.81%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 20.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawBelgrano
51.81% (-0.581 -0.58) 27.92% (0.159 0.16) 20.27% (0.424 0.42)
Both teams to score 39.04% (0.144 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.32% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)64.68% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.33% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)83.66% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (-0.318 -0.32)25.44% (0.319 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.74% (-0.438 -0.44)60.26% (0.438 0.44)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.36% (0.417 0.42)47.64% (-0.415 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.04% (0.308 0.31)82.96% (-0.307 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 51.8%
    Belgrano 20.27%
    Draw 27.91%
Velez SarsfieldDrawBelgrano
1-0 @ 16.58% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
2-0 @ 11.35% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.43%
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 51.8%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 12.11% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.12% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 27.91%
0-1 @ 8.99% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 4.56% (0.083 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.33% (0.09 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.13% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 20.27%

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Form Guide
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, October 19 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Racing
Saturday, October 5 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 3-0 Velez Sarsfield
Wednesday, October 2 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-0 Estudiantes
Tuesday, September 24 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, September 14 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 4-0 Independiente Rivadavia
Saturday, August 31 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 0-1 Platense
Saturday, October 19 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Talleres 0-0 Belgrano
Sunday, October 6 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 2-0 Boca Juniors
Sunday, September 29 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 2-4 Belgrano
Sunday, September 22 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 1-1 Independiente
Sunday, September 15 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-0 Belgrano
Saturday, August 31 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division


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