SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Tigre |
49.59% ( -0.82) | 27.81% ( 0.26) | 22.6% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 41.79% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.44% ( -0.38) | 62.56% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.85% ( -0.28) | 82.15% ( 0.28) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.48% ( -0.56) | 25.51% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.63% ( -0.77) | 60.37% ( 0.77) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.1% ( 0.35) | 43.9% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.96% ( 0.29) | 80.04% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 15.29% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.99% Total : 49.57% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 3.54% ( 0)Other @ 0.48% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.6% |
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