SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 51.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Bari had a probability of 24.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Bari win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Venezia | Draw | Bari |
51.62% ( 0.1) | 24.31% ( -0.05) | 24.07% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.02% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.33% ( 0.18) | 48.66% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.22% ( 0.16) | 70.78% ( -0.16) |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.16% ( 0.11) | 18.84% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.71% ( 0.18) | 50.29% ( -0.18) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.33% ( 0.05) | 34.67% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.6% ( 0.05) | 71.39% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Venezia | Draw | Bari |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.1% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.62% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.3% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 24.07% |
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