SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Venezia | Draw | Bari |
35.74% ( -0.13) | 26.52% ( -0.09) | 37.73% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 52.45% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.58% ( 0.37) | 52.42% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.9% ( 0.32) | 74.09% ( -0.32) |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.84% ( 0.1) | 28.16% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.16% ( 0.12) | 63.84% ( -0.13) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( 0.3) | 26.99% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.66% ( 0.39) | 62.33% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Venezia | Draw | Bari |
| 1-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.74% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.15% Total : 37.74% |
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