Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.
-0.13) 
0.22) 
