Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 49.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 25.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bari in this match.
-0.05) 
0.02) 
