Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 36.03%. A win for Bari had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Bari win was 1-0 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.
0.01) 
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