Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.
Result | ||
Venezia | Draw | Ternana |
53.47% ( 0.11) | 23.13% ( -0.07) | 23.39% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 56.06% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.74% ( 0.23) | 44.26% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.36% ( 0.22) | 66.63% ( -0.22) |
Venezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.49% ( 0.12) | 16.51% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.75% ( 0.22) | 46.24% ( -0.22) |
Ternana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.15% ( 0.08) | 32.85% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.58% ( 0.09) | 69.41% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Venezia | Draw | Ternana |
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 53.48% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.12% | 1-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 23.39% |
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