Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 50.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 23.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Ternana win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.

Result
Parma	Draw	Ternana
50.9% ( 0.01)	25.71% ( -0)	23.39% ( -0)

Both teams to score 48.1% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.21% (

-0)

54.78% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.9% (

-0)

76.09% (

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.43%

21.56% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.35% (

54.64% (

-0)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.33% (

-0)

38.67% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.58% (

-0.01)

75.41% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Parma 50.9%

Ternana 23.39%

Draw 25.7%

Parma	Draw	Ternana
1-0 @ 12.79% 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.32% 3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.83% Other @ 3.16% Total : 50.9%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.7%	0-1 @ 7.92% 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.4% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.51% Total : 23.39%