Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 35.74%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (12.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ternana would win this match.

Result
Ternana	Draw	Cittadella
35.74% ( -0.05)	29.75% ( 0)	34.5% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 42.79% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.68% (

-0.02)

64.32% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.58% (

-0.01)

83.41% (

0.01)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.83% (

-0.04)

34.16% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.14% (

-0.05)

70.85% (

0.04)

Cittadella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65% (

0.02)

35% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.25% (

0.02)

71.74% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Ternana 35.74%

Cittadella 34.5%

Draw 29.74%

Ternana	Draw	Cittadella
1-0 @ 12.84% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.74%	1-1 @ 13.48% 0-0 @ 11.95% 2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0) Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.74%	0-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.17% Total : 34.5%