Rayo will rest a number of key players on Tuesday, but we are finding it incredibly difficult to predict anything other than a comfortable success for the La Liga outfit, who should have far too much quality all over the pitch.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 96.21%. A draw had a probability of 3.3% and a win for Villamuriel had a probability of 0.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-3 with a probability of 17.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (16.48%) and 0-2 (13.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.94%), while for a Villamuriel win it was 1-0 (0.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.