Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 45.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 26.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
-0.72) 
0.74) 
