SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitebsk | Draw | Smorgon |
64.18% ( -0.04) | 20.27% ( 0.01) | 15.54% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.86% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.85% ( 0.01) | 43.14% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.45% ( 0.01) | 65.54% ( -0.01) |
| Vitebsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.27% ( -0.01) | 12.73% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.03% ( -0.02) | 38.97% ( 0.02) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.43% ( 0.04) | 40.57% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.83% ( 0.04) | 77.17% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitebsk | Draw | Smorgon |
| 2-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.8% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.5% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.6% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 64.18% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.27% | 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 1.8% Total : 15.54% |
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