SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 16.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | SC Farense |
63.84% ( 0.01) | 20.13% ( 0.01) | 16.03% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.5% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.45% ( -0.08) | 41.54% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.05% ( -0.08) | 63.94% ( 0.08) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.65% ( -0.02) | 12.34% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.83% ( -0.04) | 38.16% ( 0.04) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.04% ( -0.07) | 38.96% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.31% ( -0.07) | 75.68% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | SC Farense |
| 2-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.92% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.84% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.61% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 3.53% Total : 63.83% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.13% | 0-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.14% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 16.03% |
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