SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 52.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 22.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
22.85% ( 1.19) | 24.35% ( 0.22) | 52.8% ( -1.42) |
| Both teams to score 51.47% ( 0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.97% ( 0.34) | 50.02% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28% ( 0.3) | 72% ( -0.3) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.47% ( 1.34) | 36.53% ( -1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.68% ( 1.32) | 73.32% ( -1.33) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.1% ( -0.42) | 18.9% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.61% ( -0.7) | 50.39% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chaves | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.79% Total : 22.85% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.39)1-3 @ 5.36% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 5.32% ( -0.29)2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.23% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 52.8% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
