Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 52.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 22.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
22.85% (![]() | 24.35% (![]() | 52.8% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.47% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.97% (![]() | 50.02% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28% (![]() | 72% (![]() |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.47% (![]() | 36.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.68% (![]() | 73.32% (![]() |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.1% (![]() | 18.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.61% (![]() | 50.39% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 6.95% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 1.79% Total : 22.85% | 1-1 @ 11.58% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.9% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.86% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 11.5% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.65% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 9.58% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.32% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 3.12% Total : 52.8% |
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