MX23RW : Wednesday, April 17 23:09:15
SM
Atalanta vs. Liverpool: 19 hrs 50 mins
Upcoming predictions and previews
VD
Taca de Portugal | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 3, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
P

Guimaraes
0 - 1
Porto


Mendes (58'), Borevkovic (71'), Cesar (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pepe (52')
Sanchez (45+8'), Otavio (56'), Wendell (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Porto
Saturday, March 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-2 Porto

This first leg encounter will likely be a tight affair with both sides looking to be cautious ahead of the return leg. Porto, the favorites, will control possession but Vitoria will aim for counter-attacks. We expect a cagey affair but Porto have enough quality to edge it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPorto
30.76% (0.065000000000001 0.07) 25.98% (-0.348 -0.35) 43.26% (0.285 0.29)
Both teams to score 52.87% (1.123 1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.71% (1.439 1.44)51.29% (-1.435 -1.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.88% (1.245 1.25)73.12% (-1.241 -1.24)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.17% (0.78100000000001 0.78)30.83% (-0.776 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.9% (0.91 0.91)67.1% (-0.90600000000001 -0.91)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (0.77200000000001 0.77)23.57% (-0.769 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.37% (1.102 1.1)57.64% (-1.099 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 30.76%
    Porto 43.25%
    Draw 25.98%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPorto
1-0 @ 8.55% (-0.311 -0.31)
2-1 @ 7.27% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.03% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.85% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.105 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.97% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 30.76%
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.427 -0.43)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.159 0.16)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.98%
0-1 @ 10.5% (-0.37 -0.37)
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.083 0.08)
0-2 @ 7.59% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.3% (0.135 0.14)
0-3 @ 3.66% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.131 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.082 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.043 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 43.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Moreirense
Saturday, March 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 1-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, March 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Famalicao
Saturday, March 9 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Guimaraes
Saturday, March 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-2 Casa Pia
Saturday, February 24 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, February 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Porto
Saturday, March 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 4-1 Vizela
Saturday, March 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arsenal 1-0 Porto (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, March 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Portimonense 0-3 Porto
Friday, March 8 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 5-0 Benfica
Sunday, March 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-2 Porto
Thursday, February 29 at 4pm in Taca de Portugal


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
AL
Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!

Loading ...

Failed to load data.



. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .